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The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science Advance Access originally published online on May 16, 2005
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 2005 56(2):191-198; doi:10.1093/bjps/axi113
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© The Author (2005). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of British Society for the Philosophy of Science. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oupjournals.org

Articles

Evidential Decision Theory and Medical Newcomb Problems

Arif Ahmed

Girton College, Cambridge CB3 0JG, United Kingdom, ama24{at}hermes.cam.ac.uk

Huw Price ([1991]) has offered evidential decision theorists a defence against the charge that they make unintuitive recommendations for cases like Newcomb's Problem. He says that when conditional probabilities are assessed from the agent's point of view, evidential decision theory makes the same recommendation as intuition. I argue that calculating the probabilities in Price's way leads to no recommendation. It condemns the agent to perpetual oscillation between different options.

  1. Price's Argument
  2. Instability
  3. Objections
  4. Conclusion


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