The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science Advance Access originally published online on May 16, 2005
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 2005 56(2):293-302; doi:10.1093/bjps/axi117
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Bayesian Confirmation and Auxiliary Hypotheses Revisited: A Reply to Strevens
Department of Philosophy, University of California, Berkeley, CA 947202390, USA, branden{at}fitelson.org; andrew.waterman{at}stanford.edu
Michael Strevens ([2001]) has proposed an interesting and novel Bayesian analysis of the Quine-Duhem (QD) problem (i.e., the problem of auxiliary hypotheses). Strevens's analysis involves the use of a simplifying idealization concerning the original QD problem. We will show that this idealization is far stronger than it might appear. Indeed, we argue that Strevens's idealization oversimplifies the QD problem, and we propose a diagnosis of the source(s) of the oversimplification.
- Some background on QuineDuhem
- Strevens's simplifying idealization
- Indications that (I) oversimplifies QD
- Strevens's argument for the legitimacy of (I)
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B. Fitelson and A. Waterman Comparative Bayesian Confirmation and the Quine-Duhem Problem: A Rejoinder to Strevens Brit J Philos Sci, June 1, 2007; 58(2): 333 - 338. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. Strevens The Bayesian Treatment of Auxiliary Hypotheses: Reply to Fitelson and Waterman Brit J Philos Sci, December 1, 2005; 56(4): 913 - 918. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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